Page 10 - ITLN May-June 2025
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Cover Story
                Indian Exports



         say China plus one, they are not saying
         China plus India; India could be one
         of the options, but Southeast Asia,
         Vietnam, Malaysia—they have their
         own pockets of excellence.”
           As global trade dynamics shift
         and uncertainty clouds Indian
         pharmaceutical exports as well,
         especially to key markets like the US,
         Vijay Shetty, Senior Vice President –
         Global Distribution and Supply Chain at
         Alkem Laboratories, remains cautiously
         optimistic. Shetty underlined that while
         tariff threats loom, practical constraints
         and shared economic interests may
         keep drastic moves in check.
           He questioned the viability of such
         tariffs. “For the US to put a tariff
         on Indian pharmaceutical exports
         would not be that practical. One of   For many Indian pharma
         the reasons is that the prices from   companies, up to 40% of
         Indian manufacturing organisations   revenue comes from the US.”
         are already competitive, especially   However, he acknowledged
         in the generic space. Typically, these   that the pricing landscape has
         products, which go off patent, we   changed significantly. “With
         manufacture at the best cost, and   distributor consolidation in the US,
         that’s how the country benefits.”  things have become more competitive,
           Shetty pointed out the immense   leading to a price war.”
         savings the US reaps from Indian     “Now you look at volume growth to
         generics. “Out of the 10 prescriptions   recover the original sales,” he said,
         prescribed in the US, a minimum of   noting that while the opportunity in
         four to five medicines are India-made.   volume remains, the pressure on   On the broader global canvas, the
         If the same is manufactured by a   margins is intense.               US-China trade war has amplified the
         multinational, the prices would be   Shetty also observed a shift toward   urgency for de-risked supply chains—a
         much higher.”                     greater participation. “Earlier, there   need India has acknowledged but
           If tariffs are levied, he warned, the   were few dominant Indian pharma   cannot address overnight. “A tariff war
         consequences would ripple across the   companies in the US; now there are   has an impact,” Shetty said. “We’ve
         supply chain. “The US importers are the   many.”                     already seen the stances that both
         ones who would get impacted more. The   Amid this pricing pressure and   China and the US have taken—they’re
         price will increase, and even if we absorb   geopolitical uncertainty, Indian pharma   softening their stand, reciprocating
         50% of that increased tariff, it would not   firms are expanding their horizons.   steps. Both understand that China
         be viable for Indian manufacturers to   “Diversification is taking place,”   cannot be replaced overnight.”
         produce many products.”           said Shetty. “In the last three to five   He pointed to domestic efforts:
           He added, “They may decide not to   years, almost all pharma companies   “India has come up with the
         manufacture those products, which   have been looking at other markets.   Production-Linked Incentive (PLI)
         would impact the demand for Indian   Europe is another big region, Africa as   scheme to boost domestic production
         manufactured quality products in the   well, and the rest of the world—GCC   of APIs and key starting materials. But
         US. Is China going to fill that gap? We   countries, South Asia, Asia Pacific—are   it will take another five to ten years
         already know about the trust and quality   all being focused on.”    before we can compete with China.”
         issues with products coming from     “Earlier, we had a few concentrated   India's PLI scheme is a government
         China. That’s why India has an edge.”  export markets; now, the focus is   initiative aimed at boosting domestic
           According to Shetty, the US     broader for both volume and value   manufacturing by offering financial
         remains a vital market. “Since the   growth,” he added. “We are registering   incentives to companies based on
         last three to four years, the US has   more products in these countries to   their incremental sales of products
         been a big market in terms of value.   take some share of the business there.”  made in India.
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          May - June 2025                                                                             www.itln.in
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